Everyone loves a scenario model. Base case, upside, downside.But here’s the dirty secret: most FP&A teams don’t assign probabilities — or worse, they assign them blindly. Here are five ways teams botch probability in FP&A scenario planning: 1. Defaulting to 70/20/10 Splits The lazy template. Base case 70%, upside 20%, downside 10%. If your “probabilities” […]