Shadow Liquidity in FP&A: Unlocking Hidden Working-Capital Levers for Resilient Enterprises Finance loves visibility.Cash, cost, margin — we model what we can see.But what if the most valuable liquidity isn’t visible at all? In every company sits a quiet balance sheet.Not the one in the ERP — the one hiding in contracts, supplier terms, deferred […]
Beyond Budgets: How FP&A Can Serve as the Third Line of Defence Most finance teams still see risk as someone else’s problem.Compliance writes the rules.Audit checks the boxes.FP&A builds the model. But every forecast is a risk statement — a reflection of where the business could break.The problem?We treat those models like math, not warning […]
https://theschlottco.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/122.jpg8011200The Schlott Companyhttps://theschlottco.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/logo-schlottco-1.pngThe Schlott Company2025-10-20 15:22:072025-10-20 15:22:07FP&A and Risk Management: Finance as the Third Line
The Hidden Role of Finance Every team thinks its job is to predict the future.Finance’s real job is to protect the business from the future it wants to believe in. Optimism powers growth—but unchecked, it poisons truth.Sales rounds up. Marketing projects miracles. Product trims timelines.And slowly, the forecast stops describing reality and starts describing ambition. […]
The Collaboration Myth Every CFO wants it.More collaboration.More buy-in.More “one version of truth.” It sounds progressive — until your forecast starts lying to you. In most companies, collaboration doesn’t improve accuracy.It blurs accountability.The more voices you invite into the model, the less anyone owns the outcome. At The Schlott Company, we call this The Planning […]
The Silent Exhaustion Behind Every “Updated Forecast” It starts with good intentions. A CFO wants more agility.A board wants tighter visibility.So finance does what it always does — spins up another forecast. Before long, there’s a forecast for sales, another for spend, one for headcount, and a “rolling” version that no one quite trusts.Every revision […]
The comfort of a confident machine When finance first met artificial intelligence, it felt like salvation. Models that never slept. Dashboards that self-updated. Forecasts that carried their own “confidence score,” glowing green or red like traffic lights for decision-making. But something subtle is happening across finance teams today:confidence has replaced conviction. We’ve started to trust […]
The Shift No One Wants to Talk About Every finance leader says the same thing:“We’re adding AI to our forecasting.” But few have asked the harder question:“What happens when AI starts making the decisions we used to?” Most conversations about AI in FP&A focus on efficiency — faster close cycles, automated consolidations, variance detection. Those […]
The Paradox at the Heart of Modern Finance Your forecast isn’t wrong.It’s overfit. Across finance, teams have become masters of calibration—tight ranges, decimal-perfect models, immaculate reconciliations.And yet, the moment markets shift, those models freeze. We’ve mistaken accuracy for intelligence.We’ve built systems that can measure everything but learn nothing. At The Schlott Company, we call it […]
You’ve heard this before: “Our dashboards are real-time.”You’ve seen it in board meetings, investor updates, and in the optimistic pitches from software vendors. But here’s the paradox: even in organizations with “real-time” systems, decisions feel like they’re being made on stale data — delayed by weeks or months. That gap between what’s happening now and […]
https://theschlottco.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/pexels-pixabay-265087-1.jpg8001200Sarah Schlotthttps://theschlottco.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/logo-schlottco-1.pngSarah Schlott2025-10-13 21:10:122025-10-13 21:10:36Why “Real-Time” Finance Still Runs 30 Days Late
We once reviewed a model from a CFO who claimed his forecast was accurate to the penny. It wasn’t.It only looked that way. The workbook was polished — balanced, reconciled, color-coded, every cell accounted for. Yet inside that perfection lived a quiet flaw that erodes credibility across finance teams: false precision. The Illusion of Accuracy […]
Shadow Liquidity: FP&A’s Hidden Cash Advantage
Shadow Liquidity in FP&A: Unlocking Hidden Working-Capital Levers for Resilient Enterprises Finance loves visibility.Cash, cost, margin — we model what we can see.But what if the most valuable liquidity isn’t visible at all? In every company sits a quiet balance sheet.Not the one in the ERP — the one hiding in contracts, supplier terms, deferred […]
FP&A and Risk Management: Finance as the Third Line
Beyond Budgets: How FP&A Can Serve as the Third Line of Defence Most finance teams still see risk as someone else’s problem.Compliance writes the rules.Audit checks the boxes.FP&A builds the model. But every forecast is a risk statement — a reflection of where the business could break.The problem?We treat those models like math, not warning […]
The Forecasting Firewall
The Hidden Role of Finance Every team thinks its job is to predict the future.Finance’s real job is to protect the business from the future it wants to believe in. Optimism powers growth—but unchecked, it poisons truth.Sales rounds up. Marketing projects miracles. Product trims timelines.And slowly, the forecast stops describing reality and starts describing ambition. […]
The Planning Paradox
The Collaboration Myth Every CFO wants it.More collaboration.More buy-in.More “one version of truth.” It sounds progressive — until your forecast starts lying to you. In most companies, collaboration doesn’t improve accuracy.It blurs accountability.The more voices you invite into the model, the less anyone owns the outcome. At The Schlott Company, we call this The Planning […]
Forecast Fatigue in Finance
The Silent Exhaustion Behind Every “Updated Forecast” It starts with good intentions. A CFO wants more agility.A board wants tighter visibility.So finance does what it always does — spins up another forecast. Before long, there’s a forecast for sales, another for spend, one for headcount, and a “rolling” version that no one quite trusts.Every revision […]
The AI Forecast Mirage
The comfort of a confident machine When finance first met artificial intelligence, it felt like salvation. Models that never slept. Dashboards that self-updated. Forecasts that carried their own “confidence score,” glowing green or red like traffic lights for decision-making. But something subtle is happening across finance teams today:confidence has replaced conviction. We’ve started to trust […]
When AI Replaces the Analyst
The Shift No One Wants to Talk About Every finance leader says the same thing:“We’re adding AI to our forecasting.” But few have asked the harder question:“What happens when AI starts making the decisions we used to?” Most conversations about AI in FP&A focus on efficiency — faster close cycles, automated consolidations, variance detection. Those […]
When Forecast Accuracy Kills Adaptability
The Paradox at the Heart of Modern Finance Your forecast isn’t wrong.It’s overfit. Across finance, teams have become masters of calibration—tight ranges, decimal-perfect models, immaculate reconciliations.And yet, the moment markets shift, those models freeze. We’ve mistaken accuracy for intelligence.We’ve built systems that can measure everything but learn nothing. At The Schlott Company, we call it […]
Why “Real-Time” Finance Still Runs 30 Days Late
You’ve heard this before: “Our dashboards are real-time.”You’ve seen it in board meetings, investor updates, and in the optimistic pitches from software vendors. But here’s the paradox: even in organizations with “real-time” systems, decisions feel like they’re being made on stale data — delayed by weeks or months. That gap between what’s happening now and […]
When Forecasts Lie: The Hidden Cost of False Precision in FP&A
We once reviewed a model from a CFO who claimed his forecast was accurate to the penny. It wasn’t.It only looked that way. The workbook was polished — balanced, reconciled, color-coded, every cell accounted for. Yet inside that perfection lived a quiet flaw that erodes credibility across finance teams: false precision. The Illusion of Accuracy […]