INSIGHTS

Ideas worth taking into the next meeting.

Articles on financial planning, reporting, modeling and the decisions behind the numbers.

September 27, 2025

When Deferred Revenue Writes You Down

he silent accounting rule that guts SaaS forecasts. Why Deferred Revenue Write-Down Forecasting Matters Deferred revenue feels like a cushion. Cash arrives upfront, revenue follows. But in SaaS M&A, forecasting deferred revenue write-downs in…

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September 27, 2025

When Implementations Sink Your Forecast

The cost driver no one models until the budget explodes. Why SaaS Implementation Cost Forecasting Matters Every SaaS forecast obsesses over ARR, churn, and gross margin. But buried in the background is a silent…

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September 27, 2025

When Currency Moves Break Your Forecast

The invisible risk hiding inside SaaS models. Why FX Forecasting Matters in SaaS FP&A Most SaaS FP&A teams obsess over ARR, churn, and margin. But for companies with global revenue and expenses, FX exposure…

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September 27, 2025

When Commissions Break Your SaaS Forecast

The expense no one models until it’s too late. Why Deferred Commissions Forecasting Matters in SaaS Every SaaS forecast models revenue, headcount, and gross margin. But sales commissions? Too often they’re lumped into SG&A…

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September 27, 2025

When Gross Margin Betrays Your SaaS Forecast

The hidden volatility no one wants to model. Why SaaS Gross Margin Forecasting Is Broken Most SaaS leaders assume gross margin is stable. Infrastructure is fixed, delivery scales predictably, and once you hit size,…

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September 27, 2025

When Renewal Rates Deceive Your Forecast

Why cohort decay models should replace averages in SaaS FP&A. Why Renewal Forecasting in SaaS Is Broken Every SaaS forecast lives or dies on renewals. You can hit bookings, expand ARR, and close enterprise…

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September 27, 2025

When DSO Quietly Erodes Your Cash Forecast

Receivables don’t miss deadlines — people do. Why DSO Forecasting Matters in FP&A Most FP&A teams obsess over ARR, churn, and headcount. But Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) forecasting quietly runs in the background —…

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September 27, 2025

When Deferred Revenue Turns Against You

The balance sheet item that rewrites your forecast. Why Deferred Revenue Forecasting Can Mislead FP&A Teams Most finance teams treat deferred revenue as a routine line item. Cash is in, revenue will catch up,…

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September 26, 2025

When Driver Trees Collapse Under Pressure

The quiet fragility of FP&A’s favorite tool. Why Driver-Based Forecasting Fails in FP&A Every finance leader preaches driver-based planning. It’s elegant: revenue linked to sales capacity, churn tied to retention, headcount driving operating expenses.…

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September 24, 2025

The Illusion of Clean Data Will Bankrupt You

When accuracy feels perfect, your model is already lying. The Hidden Trap in FP&A Data Accuracy Finance leaders pride themselves on precision.Every formula checks out. Every cell ties. Every pivot reconciles. And yet —…

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September 23, 2025

EV Prices Jump as $7,500 Credit Disappears

Why automakers and FP&A teams must brace for a post-incentive world. A Subsidy Built Into the Price Tag For 16 years, U.S. buyers of electric vehicles counted on a cushion: the $7,500 federal tax…

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